Download e-book for iPad: Communicating Uncertainties in Weather and Climate by National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life

By National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Jr. Elbert W. Friday

ISBN-10: 0309090237

ISBN-13: 9780309090230

The document explores how top to speak climate and weather details by means of offering 5 case reviews, chosen to demonstrate a variety of time scales and concerns, from the forecasting of climate occasions, to supplying seasonal outlooks, to projecting weather change.

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Presidential election 6 months prior to the White House request. S. power plants. Following the election and the President’s subsequent reversal (in March) of his campaign decision, Drs. Hansen and Linzden (both members of the NAS committee) testified to Congress (on April 30, 2002) on this topic. • Foreign academies. Seventeen foreign academies of sciences requested that the NAS co-sign a statement supporting the Kyoto Protocol. S. ” • International policy makers and the IPCC. N. Kyoto treaty to restrict the emissions of CO2.

The Oklahoma public has experience with tornadoes and the sophisticated graphics and display tools used, and this experience led to effective warnings and response. Transferring these highly successful strategies to other communities around the country will be a challenge. • The degree of confidence in a forecast can affect the appropriate response. Although people are usually told not to outrun a tornado, the media advised people to do so in this case because the locations of the tornadoes and their projected paths were so well known in advance.

It is important always to include and highlight “official” forecasts in such cases. References AMS (American Meteorological Society). 2001. Special Awards and Citations. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 82:1672. Anderson, Lee. 2001. Summary of the 1997 Red River of the North Flood. Presentation at the Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate meeting, August 7-11, 2001, Woods Hole, Massachusetts. , D. , E. M. Quoetone, and W. F. Bunting. 2002. Warning decision making: The relative roles of conceptual models, technology, strategy, and forecaster expertise on 3 May 1999.

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Communicating Uncertainties in Weather and Climate Information: A Workshop Summary by National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Jr. Elbert W. Friday


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